The polls: Tories fall short

By politics.co.uk staff

David Cameron will be 50 seats short of forming a government on May 6th, if two new polls are correct.

An ICM/Guardian poll gives the Conservatives 33%, a drop of three points, with the Lib Dems and Labour tied on 28%, gaining and losing a point respectively.

The YouGov/Sun daily tracker gives the Conservatives one extra point at 34%, but that still represents a loss of a point, while both Labour and the Liberal Democrats pick up one to go to 28% and 29% respectively.

If these polls represent a uniform swing on polling day the Tories will be short of the 326 seats they need to control the house by between 55 and 59 seats.