Sunday 9th
Elections 2021
Welcome back to our final day of election coverage.
Our editor-at-large, Ian Dunt, says that the SNP has a clear mandate for Indyref2.
https://www.politics.co.uk/comment/2021/05/09/supporters-of-the-union-must-accept-sturgeons-referendum-mandate/
You can watch him discuss Indyref2 here.
https://www.politics.co.uk/video/2021/05/09/unconscionably-stupid-to-block-indyref2/
The SNP look set to press ahead with pursuing a second referendum, after a storming performance in the Scottish elections.
Nicola Sturgeon fell one short of the 65 seats needed to form an unlikely majority in Holyrood. Nevertheless, the SNP leader has made clear that the party intends to pass legislation for a second referendum.
Michael Gove was coy on whether the UK government would legally block the move.
.@SophyRidgeSky: If the Scottish parliament passes legislation to move towards a second independence referendum, will the UK government block it in the courts?@michaelgove: "We're not going to go there."#Ridge: https://t.co/2OFRcNSUm8 pic.twitter.com/icds3fGt2o
— Ridge & Frost (@RidgeandFrost) May 9, 2021
Saturday 8th
Elections 2021
6:15pm – All from us for today but we’ll be back tomorrow!
5:03pm – A few results for Labour supporters to cheer for, as they hold the North Tyneside mayor.
Labour HOLD North Tyneside Mayor
— Lewis Goodall (@lewis_goodall) May 8, 2021
Labour's Norma Redfearn retains the post with 53.4% of the vote.
Very decent increase in the Green vote. pic.twitter.com/oV14ZR1cQy
4:51pm – This is definitely one of the key takeaways from today’s vote. Brexit didn’t just cause a short-term switch in allegiances, it has changed the way the debate is framed. The culture war has become more important than economics.
British politics less and less about class and more and more about age and “cultural conservatives” versus “cultural liberals”..
— Ben Page (@Benpagelondon) May 8, 2021
4:45pm – Unsurprisingly Andy Burnham has been re-elected as Manchester mayor, prompting questions about whether he will run for the Labour leadership:
Asked by @SophyRidgeSky whether Andy Burnham is preparing for a leadership bid he says "In the distant future, if they need me, they can get in touch." "I am here to help the Labour party, if they need it… They have lost an emotional connection with parts of the country…"
— Mollie Malone (@Mollie_Malone1) May 8, 2021
4:43pm – It seems the SNP will fall just short of a majority:
Tories hold Aberdeenshire West – crucial result, suggests SNP can’t make it to 65
— Laura Kuenssberg (@bbclaurak) May 8, 2021
4:40pm – A big result for Labour this, as they win West of England Metro Mayor from the Conservatives. There definitely seems to be a pattern where in the south Labour have done well, while in the north they have collapsed.
https://twitter.com/REWearmouth/status/1391055232533139460
2:34pm – Labour equal their best ever Welsh election result:
Final results for Welsh Parliament:
— BBC Breaking News (@BBCBreaking) May 8, 2021
Labour 30
Conservatives 16
Plaid Cymru 13
Lib Dems 1#BBCElections https://t.co/3kaR1furcj pic.twitter.com/fr1BFFhJ7z
1:35pm – The south of England seems to have proved fairly positive for Labour, but that can’t paper over the collapse of their northern support.
https://twitter.com/jessicaelgot/status/1391008275378933760
1:25pm – A sign of just how much politics has flipped in the past few years. Safe seats switching left and right.
If you'd predicted even a decade ago that one day the Tories would win the Tees Valley mayoralty with 73% of the vote and lose control of Tunbridge Wells council on the same day you'd have been laughed out of the room… https://t.co/coT7jIWABW
— Sam Freedman (@Samfr) May 8, 2021
1:20pm – There have been claims from some Conservative candidates that the government gives extra attention and money to Conservative councils. Obviously this throws up many issues, but it seems to have convinced some to vote Tory.
https://twitter.com/Kate_M_Proctor/status/1391004628549087233
1:14pm – And Alba have conceded that they won’t win a seat today. Polling expert John Curtice has also said that despite not winning a seat, Alba may have damaged the other pro-independence parties.
NEW: Source on Alex Salmond’s campaign team concedes that the Alba Party are unlikely to win a single seat.
— Joe Pike (@joepike) May 8, 2021
‘We’re shot.’
But I’m told the party will continue to their fight for Scottish independence.#SP21
12:43pm – New party Alba have not made the inroads that ex-first minister Alex Salmond would’ve hoped for:
SNP sources say there is ‘no chance’ Alex Salmond will win a regional list seat.
— Joe Pike (@joepike) May 8, 2021
His former Aberdeenshire constituency of Banff and Buchan would have been the best place to pick up votes. But early sampling suggests he’s not got anywhere near enough support.#SP21
12:33pm – It seems almost inevitable that Labour will have to change strategies after these results. The question is whether they embrace left wing policies which arguably failed in 2019, but have proved popular in Preston and Wales.
Labour say they're going to do a policy review.
— Sam Coates Sky (@SamCoatesSky) May 8, 2021
(Was it really not reviewing policies before? Is this a can-kicking exercise managing left wing calls to embrace Corbyn policy agenda?)
Frontbenchers worry Starmer's performance y'day responding to local elections was 'bizarre' https://t.co/DTtzaW8pBN
12:13pm – The London mayoral vote result is expected tonight. Labour’s Sadiq Khan was always favourite and overnight has pulled out a sizeable lead after a closer than expected opening count.
A quick recap on what's happened so far in the mayoral and London Assembly elections.
— Ross Lydall (@RossLydall) May 8, 2021
1. @SadiqKhan is on course to be re-elected London mayor after opening up a lead of almost 25,000 votes on Friday night over @ShaunBaileyUK https://t.co/4vILosdcwd
11:46am – Some good news for Labour in Liverpool, where Joanna Anderson has made history as the first black woman to be elected as a mayor in the UK.
The first black woman to be directly-elected Mayor in the UK, and the first female Mayor of Liverpool.
— Joanne Anderson (@LastMayorLpool) May 7, 2021
History made 🌹 pic.twitter.com/7WyNI01OCb
11:30am – It is interesting to note that each country within the union has so far gone in a different direction. Wales dominated by Labour, England by Conservatives and Scotland by the SNP. A hint at the fractioning of the UK?
10:52am – SNP edge ever closer, even though their majority decreases:
SNP HOLD ABERDEENSHIRE EAST
— Joe Pike (@joepike) May 8, 2021
Lab 2,900
SNP 18,307
Con 16,418
LB 3,397
SNP majority reduced from 5,837 to 1,889.
10:46am – Labour matched their best ever result in Wales, in stark contrast to their disappointing showing in England:
The Welsh story is just so different in every respect — and despite it having voted for Brexit
— Tom Clark (@prospect_clark) May 8, 2021
These BBC charts show even the Greens slipping back in this near a near but parallel world pic.twitter.com/HRC3fYAMWY
10:27am – Tactical voting has proved to be a real difficulty for the SNP, whose hopes of a majority is going down to the wire:
Can the SNP still secure an outright majority?
— Lewis Goodall (@lewis_goodall) May 8, 2021
It’s tricky because of this list
SNP needed to secure six of these seats
They’ve won 3 but failures to win Dumbarton, Dumfriesshire and Eastwood as a result of significant unionist tactical voting in these seats has been costly pic.twitter.com/aCk6NzBprF
10:24am – While it has been an undoubtably disappointing election for Labour, they will gain confidence from a strong showing in Wales.
The good Labour results from Wales show the loss of the "Red Wall" post industrial seats is reversible, not inevitable – Labour winning in seats like Wrexham and Delyn lost in 2019 GE, likely to win back Rhondda from Plaid.
— Luke Akehurst (@lukeakehurst) May 7, 2021
10:06am – So where do things stand after last night?
- SNP majority on a knife edge
- Despite difficulties in England, Labour make gains in Wales
- London mayorality looking close after first round
10:00am – Welcome back again!
Friday 7th
Elections 2021: Live
6:00pm – That’s us on the live team done for the day.
The results will keep coming in, and don’t worry, we’ll be back tomorrow in what promises to be another nail-biting day of election results.
Adios.
5:56pm – It will be fascinating to see how this plays out tomorrow.
It would be a political earthquake if Sadiq Khan were to lose to Shaun Bailey.
Khan camp think low turnout is hurting them
— Lewis Goodall (@lewis_goodall) May 7, 2021
5:38pm – Huge gain for the SNP.
Another fantastic gain. Well done Siobhian Brown and her team in Ayr. That’s gains from both Tory and Labour.
— Pete Wishart (@PeteWishart) May 7, 2021
5:30pm – Positive start for Welsh Labour.
In Wales – Labour hold Wrexham – a seat they lost in 2019 general election to Conservatives. Labour also hold on to Delyn – another Conservative target. Looks like different voting patterns in England & Wales
— Sophy Ridge (@SophyRidgeSky) May 7, 2021
4:17pm – Nicola Sturgeon is re-elected as MSP to Glasgow Southside.
Glasgow Southside (Scottish parliament):
— Britain Elects (@BritainElects) May 7, 2021
SNP: 61.5% (-0.3)
LAB: 31.8% (+8.9)
CON: 5.5% (-6.9)
LDEM: 1.6% (-1.7)
SNP HOLD. Nicola Sturgeon returned as a constituency MSP.
4:11pm – Keir Starmer says he will “set out how things will change over the next few days”.
Keir Starmer seems very cross – but shuns calls on the left and right to become more radical. Seems like he still thinks he can keep both wings on board.
— Kate Ferguson (@kateferguson4) May 7, 2021
4:09pm – A silver lining for Keir Starmer and Labour.
Breaking: Labour’s Joanne Anderson is new Mayor of Liverpool @GranadaReports
— Hannah Miller (@hanrmiller) May 7, 2021
4:07pm – Big win for the SNP in East Lothian. If they want a majority, this is the sort of seat they needed to take.
Holyrood margins are so tight. East Lothian a tonic for the SNP. But still the overall result is far too close to call in terms of whether the SNP will win an outright majority
— James Forsyth (@JGForsyth) May 7, 2021
3:56pm – A huge win for Ben Houchen. If the Conservatives take the West Midlands mayoral contest with Andy Street, they’ll complete the ‘hat-trick’ of Hartlepool, Teeside, and the West Midlands.
https://twitter.com/SebastianEPayne/status/1390681109210533889
3:52pm – Labour’s day goes from bad to worse.
In Sheffield:
— Harry Horton (@harry_horton) May 7, 2021
– Labour council leader loses seat to Greens
– gains for the Greens and Lib Dems
– Conservatives win their first seat on the council in 20yrs
– Labour on the brink of losing control of the council#ElectionResults2021
3:45pm – What’s the most you’ve ever had riding on a coin toss?
The DRAMA coming out of Barnsley – Labour's Nicola Sumner has held the Rockingham ward BY A COIN TOSS after tying with Conservative candidate Roy Garratt
— Danielle Andrews (@DanielleAndrew8) May 7, 2021
3:35pm – The count is steadily coming in North of the border, and it is looking like it will be close in Scotland.
If the SNP do get a majority, it will be the story of the 2021 elections.
Nicola Sturgeon says SNP on track to win the election, but managing expectations about a majority.
— Paul Brand (@PaulBrandITV) May 7, 2021
“A majority it has always been a very very long shot”, she says.
John Curtice, asked if SNP is doing enough to get a majority: "At the moment, no"
— Matt Singh (@MattSingh_) May 7, 2021
3:00pm – Where do Labour go from here? Ian Dunt offers his take on events.
https://www.politics.co.uk/video/2021/05/07/where-do-labour-go-from-here/
2:47pm – Analysis from our reporter Chris Lomas on what went wrong for Labour in Hartlepool.
🔴 Why Labour lost Hartlepool: A THREAD pic.twitter.com/Ba4J7mnkVd
— Chris Lomas (@chrislomas_) May 7, 2021
2:33pm – High turnout in Scotland is likely to bode well for the SNP.
Could the high turnout of voters in #SP21 be the 'story of the day' in the Scottish elections 2021?
— BBC Scotland News (@BBCScotlandNews) May 7, 2021
Prof Nicola McEwen warns it is too early to say yet if we are seeing signs of tactical voting#BBCElections
Follow full results and analysis
➡️ https://t.co/0G19ywXdFB pic.twitter.com/u9cgDHdw4b
1:03pm – Keir Starmer’s predecessor with an implicit dig at the current leadership. Labour has never looked more divided.
Tory gains are bad news for jobs, the environment & public services for the many not the few. With millions not voting, these results show a loss of hope. We must offer a bolder vision to transform people’s lives & give them the confidence to strive for a more equal world.
— Jeremy Corbyn (@jeremycorbyn) May 7, 2021
12:37pm – Interesting analysis from Lewis Goodall. A lifeline for Labour?
May be a narrative life raft for Labour by the end of the day- if SNP benefit in Scotland they’ll argue there’s a Covid incumbency effect.
— Lewis Goodall (@lewis_goodall) May 7, 2021
11:39am – This may be a crude comment, but the culture war is really damaging for Labour. It’s almost unwinnable for them.
I’d say flag shagging is beating knee taking by some way, Lloyd. https://t.co/ZFZ8FBKqeT
— Nick Timothy MP (@NJ_Timothy) May 7, 2021
10:51am – If, like in recent GEs, Labour completely dominates London, it would paint a picture of a party which appeals strongly to cities, but has completely lost the countrysides. Is this the direction the Labour party should embrace? And if so, can they win this way?
CHORLEY EAST WARD – Labour Majority
— James (@jameshjourno) May 7, 2021
5,337 votes cast
Hasina Khan – Labour Party – 1,070 votes
Zara Khan – Labour Party – 992 votes
James Steven Nevett – Labour Party – 1,066
10:48am – Sometimes a picture really is worth a thousand words:
Dudley pic.twitter.com/nGycB0rHLc
— Beth Rigby (@BethRigby) May 7, 2021
10:38am – In the leadup to the elections, polling heavily suggested that Boris Johnson is one of the biggest pulls for the Tory party.
It's an uncomfortable truth for Labour, but Boris Johnson's Tories are a much more difficult beast for them to compete with in the UK's heartlands than the Tories without Boris Johnson. Laugh all they like at him, but he's eating their lunch
— Steve Hawkes (@steve_hawkes) May 7, 2021
10:26am – While there have been plenty of barbs shot at each other in the Labour party, so far there have been no strong suggestions for a reshuffle in both leadership and cabinet.
McDonnell says a shadow cabinet reshuffle would be a mistake and that an "attempt to blame others" for decisions taken by the Leader's office would be foolhardy.
— Lewis Goodall (@lewis_goodall) May 7, 2021
10:12am – Dominic Cummings weighs in on the results. Suggests that Starmer has been listening to media priorities over people’s priorities:
When pundits who ‘explained’ why Vote Leave’s plan to realign politics was mad/stupid/impossible now give post hoc ‘explanations’ for why it’s all so logical/inevitable … ignore their babble… Pundits = noise not signal. Eg ‘the centre ground’ DOES NOT EXIST, it’s pundit fiction
— Dominic Cummings (@Dominic2306) May 7, 2021
10:07am – But a reminder here that Hartlepool is just one result, and one that was arguably on the cards. A full general election can massively change voting intentions (look at Corbyn’s surge in 2017). Regardless, Labour need to have a re-think.
This is true and well worth remembering. Three years ago a prime minister won a by-election in Copeland against an opposition (a triumph) and partly on that basis decided to call an election. She kept Copeland and lost her majority. https://t.co/NRcEY8ez2H
— Lewis Goodall (@lewis_goodall) May 7, 2021
10:03am – Scotland could blow all these results out of the water. It would be incredibly interesting to see the Tories’ popularity if Scotland left the union. How would their pro-UK base feel if Scotland left Britain? Would the blame be placed on the SNP, or on the Conservatives who may have pushed Scottish voters in that direction?
Still, bigger picture: if Scotland goes no-one remembers Hartlepool.
— Tom McTague (@TomMcTague) May 7, 2021
9:51am – There are lots of questions this throws up. Was Corbyn’s Labour more appealing? Was it on the wane by 2019? How much did UKIP/Brexit Party split the right wing vote?
But it also seems that 2017 may have been an outlier rather than a trend. The 2017 Labour manifesto promised to back Brexit, whereas the 2019 Labour did not. Is that the only sticking point here?
Hartlepool, last four elections pic.twitter.com/e6OzbU9xGX
— Fraser Nelson (@FraserNelson) May 7, 2021
9:45am – An interesting analysis here of why Labour are struggling to win back their old voters, and seem stuck in no man’s land:
This means that in constituency terms Leave has a big advantage. And the Conservatives have a virtual monopoly on the Leave vote whereas the Remain vote is split between Labour, the LDs, the Greens and Nationalists in Scotland and Wales 8/n
— Gavin Barwell (@GavinBarwell) May 7, 2021
9:31am – Even in areas where Labour are holding councils, their vote shares and seats are often decreasing.
Poor Labour performance even in very strong Labour areas. Labour lost six seats in Oldham, Conservatives up four. Leader of the Council lost his seat. pic.twitter.com/r11S3OvPQu
— Lewis Goodall (@lewis_goodall) May 7, 2021
9:29am – With the SNP (and Scotland in general) seemingly less than keen on the Conservatives, it will be interesting to see if the Tories’ domination in England translates to increased calls for independence.
The Conservatives’ strong performance in England arguably has consequences for Scotland too. With the SNP expected to regain power as voting begins here, it entrenches the sense that the two nations are moving in v different directions. That can only fuel demand for independence.
— Paul Brand (@PaulBrandITV) May 7, 2021
9:24am – Labour’s bad day continues as the Tories gain Dudley:
NEW: ANOTHER Tory council gain. They've gained Dudley from NOC.
— Lewis Goodall (@lewis_goodall) May 7, 2021
9:10am – The shocking turn of popularity in voting tendencies clearly laid out here:
Eleven members of the 1997 cabinet held seats which are no longer held by Labour – including Blair, Brown, Mandelson, Cook, Mowlam, Darling and Robertson. They were all super safe seats then.
— Sam Freedman (@Samfr) May 7, 2021
9:06am – It can be easy to forget that Johnson was facing pressure from within his party. These results should solidify him for now, at least until the results from the various inquiries emerge.
Today's focus will be on Labour's Hartlepool meltdown, but there are also big consequences for Boris Johnson from today's good results for Tories. Will reinforce party's view he is a winner despite his big personal flaws, and strengthens his vice-like grip on power even further.
— Tom Newton Dunn (@tnewtondunn) May 7, 2021
8:49am – Mildly criticising your largest voting base seems an odd way of turning around poor election results:
Mr Reed adds: "(Voters) think we're talking to ourselves.
— Theo Usherwood (@theousherwood) May 7, 2021
"They think we're the party of student protest. They don't think we care about business, the economy and aspiration.
"We have to correct that… to listen to people and turn that into a credible programme for Govt."
8:36am – Peter Mandelson, who was the MP for Hartlepool for over a decade, has said he feels ‘mild fury’ at the result. Suggests a return to Blairite policies if Labour want to be re-elected.
Peter Mandelson:
— Steven Swinford (@Steven_Swinford) May 7, 2021
‘I feel mild fury that last 10 years of what we have been doing in Labour Party locally & nationally has brought us to this
‘We have not won a general election for 16 years. We need for once to learn lessons of those victories (Blair) as well as defeats’
8:22am – The red wall has not just crumbled, it’s been knocked down.
Labour's 20-year retreat. pic.twitter.com/ITCGICNenO
— Ian Jones (@ian_a_jones) May 7, 2021
8:13am – It’s very tempting to just think about Hartlepool, but let’s not forget we have huge election results from Wales and Scotland to come up later today. Count starts at 9am.
If the SNP win a majority it could lead to further calls for Scottish independence. Watch our piece on these increasing calls here:
🏴 Indyref2’s watershed moment
— Politics.co.uk (@Politics_co_uk) April 27, 2021
👉 Scotland’s independence movement is at a pivotal momenthttps://t.co/H3iVEWnFrX pic.twitter.com/6F1tAPICg2
8:03am – Starmer’s response to the results. Sticks by the centrist Labour line that there had not been enough change, rather than there had been too much.
Here’s Keir Starmer’s formal response to Hartlepool and councils overnight
— Sam Coates Sky (@SamCoatesSky) May 7, 2021
Interested to know what the “programme of change” referred to here amounts to (and has involved to date) pic.twitter.com/Rh3Huv15EC
7:55am – The inherent problem Labour have is that both sides seem to be interpreting this result to suit their own views. The moderates see it as a continuation of the fallout from Corbyn, while the left see it as a damning assessment of the step away from socialism.
Keir Starmer setting up for a big fight with the left this morning (as predicted by @alexnunns)
— Sam Coates Sky (@SamCoatesSky) May 7, 2021
Shadow cabinet Steve Reed arguing
– “Keir believes we need to change direction and speed up our return to the British people”
– 2019 manifesto led to “historic 85 year defeat”
7:51am – Another big win for the Conservatives on a morning that just keeps getting worse for Labour:
Conservatives gain Northumberland from No Overall Control – the first time they’ve controlled the council since it was formed in the 1970s
— Sophy Ridge (@SophyRidgeSky) May 7, 2021
7:44am – Here’s the full Hartlepool results. Over half of the vote went to the Conservatives:
Hartlepool, parliamentary by-election result:
— Britain Elects (@BritainElects) May 7, 2021
Con: 51.9% (+23.0)
Lab: 28.7% (-9.0)
Ind: 9.7% (+7.5)
RefUK: 1.2% (-24.6)
Grn: 1.2% (+1.2)
LDem: 1.2% (-3.0)
Oth: 6.1% (+4.9)
Con GAIN from Lab.
7:40am – As said, the two schools of thought in Labour are instantly at war.
Blame game starts.
— Theo Usherwood (@theousherwood) May 7, 2021
Phil Wilson, who lost his Sedgefield seat in 2019, tells @LBC: "The overhang from the Corbyn-era is still there.
"The world view that had no affinity with country. My view is that if you have no belief in your country, why do you want to govern it?"
7:33am – And it may have gone under the radar with all the news going on, but NIP did far worse than expected, failing to even get their deposit back.
7:31am – Important to note that there don’t seem to be signs of a Starmer resignation (although supporters may feel different). But big questions to answer.
Corbyn-supporting left this morning NOT calling for Keir Starmer to go.
— Sam Coates Sky (@SamCoatesSky) May 7, 2021
Instead as a first step they are calling for him to embrace the 2019 Corbyn manifesto (which it appears they doubt will happen).
Will he listen to them? Or to the critique from elsewhere in the party? https://t.co/H0Wl6usXLZ
7:26am – We hear the term ‘unprecedented’ used often in politics these days, but it is fairly apt today with Hartlepool:
Biggest % point increases in gov party vote share in post-war Westminster by-elections:
— Matt Singh (@MattSingh_) May 7, 2021
7.3 (Lab, Preston 1946)
8.5 (Con, Copeland 2017)
8.9 (Lab, Hull N 1966)
9.8 (Con, Barnsley 1953)
12.0 (Lab, Bournemouth 1945)
23.0 (Con, Hartlepool 2021)
7:21am – Two trains of thought coming from Labour: the first saying Labour has changed too much, and the other that they haven’t changed enough. Labour’s damaging long running civil war continues.
7:18am – The questions have started. How will the Labour left react to this devastating result?
Incredibly disappointing defeat in Hartlepool.
— Richard Burgon MP (@RichardBurgon) May 7, 2021
We are going backwards in areas we need to be winning.
Labour's leadership needs to urgently change direction.
It should start by championing the popular policies in our recent manifestos – backed by a large majority of voters.
7:12am – 38 other seats where the Brexit party vote is greater than the Labour majority. How do Labour win back these voters?
A truly terrible result for Labour and for Keir Starmer.
— Lewis Goodall (@lewis_goodall) May 7, 2021
He chose the candidate and the date. Whatever the spin about the Brexit Party vote it's irrelevant, there are 38 other seats where the BXP vote is greater than the Lab majority. Those seats clearly very much at risk.
7:10am – A considerable swing from Labour to Conservatives. The Tories did not just gain from the Brexit party, but from Labour too. There will be plenty of questions regarding the choice of candidates by Labour, and the decision to hold the by-election today.
That’s a majority of 6,940.
— Joe Pike (@joepike) May 7, 2021
-Tory vote up 23%
-Lab vote down 9%
-Swing of 16% from Lab to Con
7:08am – Conservatives won by a huge margin of almost 7,000 votes.
https://twitter.com/danbloom1/status/1390548751148793857
7:06am – BREAKING NEWS: Conservatives win Hartlepool
6:57am – This sums it up well. The Greens and Labour (and arguably Lib Dems) have split each other’s vote whilst the Tories no longer have any opposition on the right:
https://twitter.com/SebastianEPayne/status/1390453764864290821
6:49am – What could become clear over the course of the day is that Labour were ‘lucky’ to gain as many seats as they did in the previous election. The Brexit party, who only competed in Labour seats, have overwhelmingly switched to the Conservatives, saving Labour in many northern constituencies.
6:45am – The interesting note here is that Labour’s vote share increased, but the Tories have hoovered up Brexit Party votes. Shows that Labour are struggling how to attract their voter base. Left wing supporters have gone to the Greens, while right wing supporters have gone from the Brexit party to Conservatives.
Mackworth (Derby) council result:
— Britain Elects (@BritainElects) May 7, 2021
Con: 44.9% (+22.0)
Lab: 37.9% (+1.9)
Grn: 9.4% (+4.8)
LDem: 4.4% (-0.4)
Oth: 3.4% (+1.7)
No UKIP (-30.1) as prev.
Con GAIN from Lab
More: https://t.co/laSaIRWUOf
6:38am – It’s fair to say this is likely a Tory seat. Labour have already conceded. Usually opposition parties do well in by-elections, but this seems a step backwards for a party that struggled heavily in 2019.
https://twitter.com/danbloom1/status/1390540973755752450
6:35am – It will be interesting to see with Hartlepool if Labour’s vote share has decreased, or whether the Conservatives have just taken all the Brexit party votes.
6:28am – Hartlepool by-election is taking longer to count than expected due to covid restrictions. Expected announcement around 7am.
6:23am – Labour in the difficult position of bleeding votes to both the right and left of the party.
Reddish South (Stockport) council result:
— Britain Elects (@BritainElects) May 7, 2021
Grn: 48.1% (+41.0)
Lab: 34.7% (-23.1)
Con: 10.8% (-3.2)
Ind: 5.0% (+5.0)
LDem: 1.4% (-4.5)
No UKIP (-14.0) as prev.
Grn GAIN from Lab
More: https://t.co/laSaIRWUOf
6:20am – Grave sounds coming out of the Labour camp already. Starmer will be under considerable pressure if results continue in the same vein.
“Labour must now accelerate the programme of change in our party, to win back the trust and faith of working people across Britain.
— Lewis Goodall (@lewis_goodall) May 7, 2021
“People don’t want to hear excuses. Keir has said he will take responsibility for these results…”
6:15am –
- Hartlepool expected to switch Conservative
- Conservative gains in councils in the north of England
- Good night for the Greens who make gains off Labour
6:00am – Welcome back! Let’s take a look at how things look so far.
Thursday 6th
10:15am – It’s election day!
We hope you’re getting ready to go out and vote. Keep up on this page for all the latest news and updates on the 2021 Elections.
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