New poll confirms Labour's worst fears in Scotland

Emergency stations for Jim Murphy in Scotland
Emergency stations for Jim Murphy in Scotland
Ian Dunt By

Labour's problems in Scotland show few signs of improving tonight, after a ComRes poll for ITV News showed 28 of their 40 Scottish seats were set to go to the SNP.

The survey of Labour-held seats predicted a massive 19-point swing from Labour to the SNP, which would rob it of most of its Scottish constituencies on a uniform swing.

Thirty per cent of those who voted Labour in 2010 are now prepared to vote SNP. The party is particularly popular among the young, with 18-34-year-old voters splitting 46% for the SNP and 32% for Labour. Those aged 55 and older split the other way, with 44% for Labour and 36% for the SNP.

Most voters in Labour-held constituencies want the SNP to help Labour rather than the Conservatives in the event of a hung parliament.

The preferred option is for no formal arrangement to be made – a view supported by 41% of respondents.


Twenty-one per cent want the SNP to support a minority Labour government, which is the same number as those who want a formal coalition.
Supporters of independence are significantly more likely to want an agreement with Labour.

The main reason for wanting to vote SNP remains a commitment to an independent Scotland, with 56% picking this option. But a substantial minority – 35% said they were motivated by the fact Labour "no longer represents people like me".

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